Setting the Scene
On November 4, 2025, Aljamain Sterling appeared on The Ariel Helwani Show and delivered one of the more technically rigorous public analyses of the Isaac Dulgarian betting and alleged match-fixing scandal. The scrutinized bout took place on November 1, 2025, at UFC Vegas 110, where Dulgarian faced Yadier del Valle under a cloud of suspicion that intensified sharply in the days that followed.
Two Versions of the Same Fighter
Sterling's central argument rested on a stark contrast between two versions of Dulgarian on film. In his UFC debut against Francis Marshall, Dulgarian had appeared composed, technically sound, and capable. The performance against del Valle, Sterling contended, told an entirely different story—one that did not square with the skill level Dulgarian had previously demonstrated.
Three Grappling Errors That Raised Red Flags
Sterling identified three specific grappling errors he found difficult to reconcile with a fighter of Dulgarian's background. First, Dulgarian attempted a deep double-leg takedown but, rather than finishing the shot with proper level changes and forward drive, appeared to crawl on his knees—a fundamental breakdown that any seriously trained wrestler would typically avoid under competitive conditions. Second, after successfully defending a choke, Dulgarian immediately surrendered back position, negating the defensive work he had just completed. Third, and perhaps most telling to Sterling's trained eye, when his back was taken, Dulgarian directed his hand-fighting toward the top, non-choking hand rather than addressing the arm actually applying the choke—a critical misprioritization that accelerates a submission finish.
Sterling noted that Dulgarian had trained alongside high-caliber athletes including Youssef Zalal, Cory Sandhagen, and Tim Elliott, making the technical lapses even more conspicuous. Fighters who share the mat with competitors of that caliber absorb high-level technique daily, and the errors Sterling catalogued were fundamentally inconsistent with that training environment. His conclusion was direct: the performance did not reflect Dulgarian's actual capabilities.
The Broader Context
The circumstances surrounding Sterling's appearance added urgency to the analysis. On November 2, 2025, betting analyst Ace (@BettingWithAce1) flagged significant anomalies in the wagering activity surrounding the bout and reported that the FBI had notified the UFC of those irregularities. By November 4, 2025, Nevada's athletic commission had already withheld Dulgarian's purse, and reports indicated he had lost his UFC position. Sterling's technical breakdown served not only as fight analysis, but as an expert articulation of precisely why the performance warranted serious scrutiny.